Stream the 49ers: San Francisco's 31.3 implied total is the highest of the week, so we expect the Raiders to spend Sunday chasing.
Stream board
1. San Francisco 49ers (36.8% rostered), vs. Raiders. Kirk Cousins (LV) is sacked on just 3.7% of dropbacks with 0.6 turnovers a game, so this is a game-script bet against a 21.3 implied total, not a pass-rush bet. We expect him throwing from behind, which is also why Tuesday's Mike Washington Jr. stash stays a stash.
2. Dallas Cowboys (15.6% rostered), at Colts. Daniel Jones (IND) is sacked on 7.6% of dropbacks and gives the ball away 1.5 times a game, more of both than Cousins. The Colts are implied for 23 points. The Raiders are implied for 21.3 points. San Francisco is implied for 31.3 points. That game script keeps Dallas second.
3. Buffalo Bills (11.9% rostered), at Vikings. Kyler Murray (MIN) is out with a hamstring strain, so Carson Wentz starts Monday night. Wentz has been sacked on 13.3% of dropbacks over two games. That keeps Buffalo third. Minnesota is implied for 21 points. It's a sack play more than a takeaway play, and Tuesday's Jauan Jennings drop stands.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (34.5% rostered), vs. Giants. J.J. McCarthy (NYG) is sacked on 7.5% of dropbacks with 0.5 turnovers a game over two games. The Giants are implied for 21 points. Philadelphia's offense is implied for 17.5 points. We'd stream the Eagles in deep leagues only.
Set and forget
Seattle Seahawks, start. Arizona is implied for 15.5, and that's the whole case. Gardner Minshew II (ARI) has one game of evidence: sacked on 4.2% of dropbacks, 0 turnovers. Tuesday's stash and the other Cardinals-Seahawks moves stand.
Avoid
New England Patriots, sit. They're rostered in 64% of leagues, and the name won't help them here. Jordan Love (GB) is sacked on just 4.3% of dropbacks with 0.9 turnovers a game. Minnesota is implied for 21 points against the Bills. Wentz has been sacked on 13.3% of dropbacks. We'd swap in the Bills.
If the 49ers are gone
Add the Cowboys. No quarterback on this board gives the ball away more than Jones, and we'd take that even with a 23 implied total, the highest of the four. Everyone else is on the full chart.
Every defense, ranked for the week: the DST chart.